Unlike conventional fiat currencies like the Euro or the US Dollar, the value of Bitcoin (BTC) is not set by a central bank or other centralized body. Bitcoin’s price is instead set by supply and demand. There will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin due to its supply cap. When demand outpaces supply, the price of bitcoin rises; when demand declines, the price falls. Other elements that can affect supply and demand and, in turn, the price of bitcoin include the cost of mining bitcoin, laws, news, and competition from other cryptocurrencies.
Due to Bitcoin’s extreme price volatility, many detractors are looking for a more comprehensive explanation for the cryptocurrency’s valuation while also casting doubt on the economic and mathematical underpinnings of price swings. Because Bitcoin is decentralized, it is not backed by any underlying asset or government and does not adhere to monetary policies. Investors and consumers who value the price stability signals that fiat currencies receive from government support and policy become skeptical as a result.
What variables affect the price of Bitcoin?
Generally speaking, a variety of factors affect supply and demand. Events in the economy, such as changes in the price of stocks and bonds, as well as global events like the coronavirus epidemic and Russia’s conflict with Ukraine, can have an impact on the supply and demand of the goods and services we value. This is in addition to normal economic cycles, which also include recession, stagnation, and periods of high inflation, during which governments must intervene to preserve the value of their national currencies. However, the Bitcoin ecosystem is a completely decentralized monetary system, in contrast to fiat currencies, which are governed by governmental monetary policy.
This indicates that there is no central body in charge of overseeing the money, and the process of mining bitcoins adheres to the protocol’s guidelines. Every transaction on the Bitcoin network has followed an exact and unchangeable procedure from the creation of the first block. By figuring out a mathematical riddle, miners produce fresh blocks, which adds additional bitcoins to the market. The block reward amount that miners get through a process known as Bitcoin halving is the only part of the Bitcoin protocol that is subject to periodic changes. This occurs every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, when the block reward’s value is halved.
Why is Bitcoin’s price so unpredictable?
Even if Bitcoin has the biggest trading volume of all cryptocurrencies, its market is still little in comparison to other international marketplaces. This implies that less money is needed to shift prices up or down. When it comes to volatility, Bitcoin would behave quite similarly if it had the same trading volume as, say, gold.
Given the restricted quantity of bitcoins in circulation and the stringent regulations governing their creation, which result in a steadily declining output due to diminishing rewards for miners, demand for the cryptocurrency would have to mirror its deflationary tendencies in order to maintain price stability. Events in the news that might harm or help Bitcoin’s reputation, doubts about the cryptocurrency’s inherent worth as a store of value in the future, concerns associated with big Bitcoin holders’ currency in terms of liquidation, and security breaches can all have an impact on the price of the cryptocurrency.
Can the price of Bitcoin reach zero?
In a nutshell, sure. This is due to the fact that the perceived value of a currency—or anything, really—determines its worth. Even if certain fiat currencies have been out of circulation for a long time, collectors will still pay a high price for a coin that is 200 years old. It’s important to remember that extinct currencies typically collapse due to the emergence of substitutes or events like hyperinflation. Affected currencies typically see severe devaluation as a result of such occurrences.
Since the quantity of Bitcoin that may be produced is limited and cannot be created at random, hyperinflation is not possible in this circumstance. Ultimately, the real reasons for a drop in the price of Bitcoin can be any or all of the following: technological setbacks, political pressure, media coverage that falls under the general category of FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) and more. We may continue to anticipate both large price hikes and drops until Bitcoin truly reaches the majority of the world’s population. Volatility reigns for the time being.
Competition and the Value of Bitcoin
Hundreds of different tokens are competing for investor cash, even though Bitcoin is the most well- known cryptocurrency. In 2023, bitcoin will be the most traded cryptocurrency. But with time, its power has diminished. Over 80% of the total market value in cryptocurrency marketplaces was held by bitcoin in 2017. That percentage dropped to fewer than 50% by 2023. The primary cause of this was growing knowledge of and proficiency with alternative currencies.
For instance, the rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) has made Ether a serious rival to bitcoin. Ether (ETH), a cryptocurrency that serves as the “gas” for network transactions, has attracted investors who see its ability to completely reimagine the framework of today’s financial system. The popularity of other cryptocurrencies that are being introduced has increased.
Other cryptocurrencies that are depleting bitcoin’s market share include Tether, BNB, USDCoin, and Solana. Although they have diverted some investment funds from the Bitcoin ecosystem, investors have been drawn to bitcoin due to competition. Demand for and knowledge of cryptocurrencies have therefore grown. The attention that bitcoin has received as a type of standard-bearer for the cryptocurrency ecosystem has helped it, and its values have stayed high.
Bitcoin trading is readily accessible through OFP (Proprietary Trading Firm), where traders have the opportunity to capitalize on price movements and potentially generate profits from their trades.